Poly-Trader — Live Trading Desk
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Real-money Polymarket execution engine. Mirrors Grade A consensus signals from PolyHunter. Mode: LIVE + 4 paper
$0.23
Realised P&L
0
Open Positions
75%
Win Rate (3/4)
$1000
USDC Balance
Exposure: $0 / $100
0% utilised
Trade History
4 trades
| Market | Side | Entry | Exit | Size | P&L | Exit Signal | Mode |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the | YES | $0.87 | $0.88 | $10 | +$0.11 (+1%) | TARGET | Paper |
| Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026? ●●●●◐ [A] | YES | $0.68 | $0.69 | $25 | +$0.55 (+2%) | TARGET | Paper |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon | NO | $0.16 | $0.28 | $15 | +$11.72 (+78%) | TARGET | Paper |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026? ●●●●● [ | NO | $0.85 | $0.14 | $15 | -$12.62 (-84%) | MAX_HOLD | Paper |
Trading Rules
Entry Filter
• CONSENSUS edge type only
• Grade A reports (77% historical win rate)
• LONG tail (multi-domain corroboration)
• FIRST_UPTICK wave entry trigger
• Grade A reports (77% historical win rate)
• LONG tail (multi-domain corroboration)
• FIRST_UPTICK wave entry trigger
Exit Rules
• TARGET: 70% edge capture
• TRAILING STOP: 15% from peak (activates at +15%)
• ADAPTIVE STOP: 10-25% by risk tier
• MAX HOLD: 48h standard, 96h extended
• TRAILING STOP: 15% from peak (activates at +15%)
• ADAPTIVE STOP: 10-25% by risk tier
• MAX HOLD: 48h standard, 96h extended
Position Sizing
• LOW risk: $25 per trade
• MEDIUM risk: $15 per trade
• HIGH risk: $10 per trade
• Max 3 concurrent • $100 total exposure
• MEDIUM risk: $15 per trade
• HIGH risk: $10 per trade
• Max 3 concurrent • $100 total exposure
Kill Switch
• 5 consecutive losses
• $50 daily loss limit
• Exchange API errors
• Manual override available
• $50 daily loss limit
• Exchange API errors
• Manual override available