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Noah Poly Index — Prediction Intelligence
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Our signal engine scans prediction markets daily for exploitable divergences. When we find one, we publish it and trade it.

Disclosure: We actively trade on the positions identified in these reports. Entries and exits are tracked in our scoreboard. You are welcome to act on this intelligence — that is why we publish it.
+41.0 cumulative pts
61% accuracy
Full scoreboard →
Consensus · Grade B
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the ...
+640.0%
P&L
0c → 5c
Entry → Now
Consensus edge · EXITED
Consensus · Grade A
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?
+176.2%
P&L
10c → 28c
Entry → Now
Consensus edge · EXITED
Consensus · Grade A
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
+137.4%
P&L
6c → 18c
Entry → Now
Consensus edge · EXITED
Consensus · Grade A
Will the U.S./Israel target an Iranian nuclear facility b...
+72.4%
P&L
12c → 11c
Entry → Now
Consensus edge · EXITED
Consensus · Grade B
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
+50.0%
P&L
35c → 17c
Entry → Now
Consensus edge · EXITED
Consensus · Grade B
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
+50.0%
P&L
35c → 17c
Entry → Now
Consensus edge · EXITED
Consensus · Grade B
US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by Feb 28?
+46.8%
P&L
31c → 100c
Entry → Now
Consensus edge · EXITED
Consensus · Grade A
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?
-45.8%
P&L
12c → 15c
Entry → Now
Consensus edge · EXITED
Consensus · Grade A
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
+44.3%
P&L
35c → 14c
Entry → Now
Consensus edge · EXITED
Consensus · Grade B
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
+36.5%
P&L
26c → 10c
Entry → Now
Consensus edge · EXITED
Consensus · Grade B
Iran strike on US military by February 28?
+36.0%
P&L
25c → 14c
Entry → Now
Consensus edge · EXITED
Consensus · Grade A
Hezbollah strike on Israel by February 28?
-33.3%
P&L
13c → 2c
Entry → Now
Consensus edge · EXITED